In its most recent sales report, New
York–based Real Capital
Analytics (RCA) says apartment sales volume rose 53 percent
to $3.8 billion in January. The jump in volume was fueled
by the sale of two trophy New York properties. The first
was Two Cooper Square, a $134 million deal between seller
New York-based Atlantic Development Group
and buyer Wafra Investment Advisory Group
(the Kuwaiti government's
social security fund). The second property was Columbus
Square, a $630 million deal
between sellers Chetrit
Group, based in New York, Stellar Management, headquartered
in Silver Spring,
Md., and buyers MetLife,
based in New
York, and UDR, the
Denver-based REIT. Without the sale of
those two properties, sales would have risen only 21.8
percent.
“These are both newly built
[deals],” says Ben Thypin, a senior
market analyst for RCA. “There
are not that many newly built Class A,
institutional-quality properties in New
York.” The total number of properties
actually fell year over, dropping from 206 to 184
properties sold nationally. However, in December 2010, 442
properties sold, compared with 531 properties sold in
December 2011.
An active December is one of the reasons Thypin thinks
the market is healthier today.
“We're
coming off of a more active December,” he
says. “Yields actually went up
slightly. It's a healthier
market but still not gangbusters.”
Gary T. Kachadurian, chairman of the
board for Atlanta-based brokerage firm
ARA, says his company's January
volume more than doubled, going from $182 million to $392
million. He says this was fed by rent increases, improving
values, and cheap debt.
“We've
had a big volume increase this year,” he
says.
After seeing their sales pace slow some over the past
year, mid- and high-rises led the charge in January. But
skewing that figure somewhat was that 87 percent of that
volume occurred in Manhattan. The two trophy properties
accounted for 37 percent of all high-rise deals.
The number of smaller mid- and high-rise deals outside
of Manhattan increased, which meant a jump in cap
rates. The prices and yield for garden
communities, a big driver of sales in 2011, remained the
same. Sales of garden properties were sold for $1.8
billion, a 26 percent increase from last year.
“There's
so much garden product out there,” Thypin
says. “There are only so many
high-rise
properties available.”
The distressed market continues to slow, as sales fell
45 percent compared with January 2011.
That made up less than 8 percent of
overall volume. That trend is showing up in some of the
bubble markets, but there is still some room for recovery
in others. “In Phoenix,
we're seeing a market that is a
bit more normalized, comprised of more market-type buyers
and sellers,” says Nick Ingle, director
of capital markets for Phoenix-based Hendricks and
Partners. “Las Vegas is a
different story and is still dominated by distress sales
and opportunistic investors. The Nevada
market is probably the last major
”˜turnaround'
market in the U.S., and many investors are sensing that
2012 represents the inflection point for operations and
value.”