Journal of Tax Credit Investing
Applying
FASB Interpretation 46 to housing tax credit investments
The information presented here is intended solely
for informational purposes and should not be construed
as accounting advice from the author or Ernst &
Young, LLP.
In response to the corporate accounting scandals that staggered
financial markets last year, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB) issued FASB Interpretation Number
46 (FIN 46), Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities
(VIEs), providing additional interpretation of existing
accounting literature concerning consolidation. The new
accounting rules associated with this measure have the
potential to have a dramatic impact on the affordable
housing equity markets. Put simply, under FIN 46, certain
business entities may now be required to consolidate
within their own financial statements the real estate
assets, liabilities and income statement results of the
affordable housing partnerships in which they are invested.
Why
does FIN 46 matter?
We estimate that approximately 50% of all affordable housing
equity investments have been acquired by a single limited
partner investing either directly in an operating partnership
or through a so-called private-label fund. As a result
of the issuance of FIN 46, these affordable housing investments
are subject to potential consolidation by the investors
that made them.
Banks, insurance companies, and other large financial institutions
are providing most of the capital for housing credit
project developments. These investors will likely be
reluctant to consolidate real estate debt and assets
onto their balance sheets because of adverse regulatory
and market implications. In short, having to report debt
from these partnerships as if it were corporate debt
could restrict an institution's ability to borrow and
invest. Therefore, the implementation of FIN 46 could
result in reductions in the equity volume or (more likely)
changes in the structure of direct and private-label
investments.
How
does FIN 46 work?
As it pertains to affordable housing investments, there
are generally three basic steps required to determine
whether an investor is at risk of consolidating its investment.
First, determine whether the partnership will be deemed
a VIE as described in paragraph 5 of FIN 46. Then, if
the partnership is considered to be a VIE, determine
whether there are restrictions of substance on the limited
partner's ability to sell its investment. Finally, if
the partnership is a VIE and there are no restrictions
on the limited partner's ability to sell its interest
in the partnership, then calculate which entity, if any,
will be considered the primary beneficiary that must
consolidate the financial results of the VIE based on
the variability of potential cash flows to each interest
holder.
Is
the entity a VIE?
Under FIN 46, an entity shall be subject to consolidation
if, by design, the equity investor at risk either does
not have the ability to make decisions based on voting
rights or does not have the obligation to absorb the
expected losses of the entity.
As a general matter in affordable housing investments,
FIN 46 seems to lead to the conclusion that the only
equity investor at risk is the limited partner. This
results, in part, from the fact that the general partner
will not be considered an equity investor at risk. The
general partner often contributes only a nominal amount
of equity and usually anticipates receiving a development
fee through an affiliate at the conclusion of construction.
Under FIN 46, fees paid to decision-makers must be netted
against their equity investment, resulting in no equity
investment at risk by the general partner. For this purpose,
any obligation to advance future capital under one or
more guarantees does not represent equity.
Because the limited partners are the only equity investors
at risk, FIN 46 provides that they must have decision-making
ability through voting rights and the ability to absorb
the expected losses of the entity. Typically, the limited
partners in affordable housing investments do not have
decision-making rights because they can remove the general
partner only for cause and have no control over operating
decisions. Likewise, because under the typical partnership
agreement, the local general partner makes construction-completion
guarantees and operating-deficit guarantees and accepts
tax credit adjuster provisions, the only equity investors
at risk (the limited partners) do not have the obligation
to absorb the expected losses of the entity. Therefore,
a typical affordable housing partnership will likely
be considered a VIE because the limited partners lack
sufficient decision-making authority and because they
do not have an obligation to absorb the expected losses
of the partnership.
Are
there restrictions on an investor's ability to transfer
its interests?
Paragraph 16 of FIN 46 states that for purposes of this
interpretation, the term "related parties"
includes certain parties that are acting as de facto
agents of the variable-interest holder. Under paragraph
16(d)(1) of FIN 46, a party is considered to be a de
facto agent of an enterprise if it is subject to an agreement
that it cannot sell, transfer or encumber its interests
in the entity without the approval of the enterprise.
What this means for investors in affordable housing partnerships
is that if there are restrictions on the investor's ability
to sell or transfer its interest in the partnership,
then the limited partner will likely not be required
to consolidate under FIN 46.
However, the restrictions must have substance. Common transfer
provisions, such as that the general partner's consent
to the transfer will not be unreasonably withheld or
that the transfer can be prohibited only if it will have
an adverse tax impact, are probably not sufficient for
an investor to claim exemption under paragraph 16(d)(1).
If the general partner has the clear power to approve or
disapprove a sale by the limited partner, then this lack
of free transferability could prove to be the key provision
in FIN 46 that investors focus on when determining whether
they are exempt from consolidating their investments.
We suspect that some investors will restructure their
partnership agreements to take advantage of this provision
in order to avoid the possibility of consolidating these
investments.
Who
is the primary beneficiary?
The holders of variable interests in affordable housing
partnerships are the general partner, the limited partner,
the lenders and the guarantors. FIN 46 requires that
we measure the variability in the discounted cash flows
to each of these variable interests to determine whether
any are expected to have a majority (50% or more) of
the variability in partnership cash flows. If one of
the variable interests is determined to have a majority
of the variability, then it will be deemed to be the
primary beneficiary, and that interest holder will be
required to consolidate the results of the partnership
into its financial statements.
How
does the calculation work?
FIN 46 instructs us to perform variability analysis by
estimating the potential cash flow outcomes for each
variable interest and assigning probabilities to each
of these potential outcomes, and then to discount these
cash flows using a risk-free interest rate. Determining
which scenarios to present and which probabilities to
assign to each scenario is a highly subjective and highly
complex exercise. In the scenarios constructed and the
probabilities assigned, however, the total of all of
the risk-adjusted, discounted cash flows under all of
the scenarios for each variable interest should equal
the original amount of support (the original loan or
equity amount) provided to the partnership.
FIN 46 instructs us to perform this analysis based on pre-tax
cash flows. However, this analysis would be rather meaningless
if we excluded tax benefits because limited partners
invest almost exclusively to acquire only the tax benefits.
Therefore, our firm has concluded that tax benefits to
the limited partner should be included in the cash flow
analysis for affordable housing investments.
Additionally, these partnerships typically include "soft
debt" issued by governments, which is debt where
the repayment is subject to the availability of cash
flow. The risk-adjusted, discounted cash flows from these
loans generally will not equal the original amount of
support provided.
Determining
the primary beneficiary
Two calculations are performed to determine which party
is the primary beneficiary. These calculations are based
on developing a set of cash flows for a number of scenarios.
It is beyond the scope of this article to explain all
of the complexities involved in generating the cash flows
by assigning probabilities to various scenarios used
for these calculations.
Prior to performing the variability calculation, FIN 46
instructs us not to take into consideration variability
attributable to fees paid to affiliates of the general
partner. Therefore, and this will come as a surprise
to many observers, variability in development fees will
not be considered in this variability analysis.
Under the first test, we measure the downside variability
of each interest holder's cash flows. Often, the limited
partner or the lender will be the primary beneficiary
under this first test. If no variable interest has a
majority of the variability under this test, a second
test is performed that adds the fees paid to the general
partner to the variability calculated for its interests.
Under this second test, the general partner often will
be deemed as the primary beneficiary that must consolidate.
The reader should understand that if there is a restriction
of substance on the transferability of the limited partner's
interest, then the variability attributable to the limited
partner is added to the general partner's variability
when calculating the primary beneficiary test.
First
impressions regarding results of calculations
While these impressions are far from conclusive, several
factors seem to drive the variability calculations. First,
the size of the investments relative to each other exerts
a significant influence over the variability calculations.
If we assume a $2 million equity investment and a $4
million loan with the same term and rate of return, then
the loan will likely be assigned variability based on
the relative size of the support provided. Similarly,
if we assume a $2 million equity investment and a $2
million loan, both with 15-year terms but where the rate
of return on the equity is higher than the return on
the loan, then the equity should have more variability
assigned to it. Finally, if we assume an equity investment
and loan both for $2 million and with equal returns,
but where the equity investment is for 15 years and the
loan is for 30 years, then the loan will likely generate
more variability. So the three determining factors seem
to be size of investment, rate of return and length of
term.
Assigning
probabilities with FIN 46
In theory, under FIN 46, the difference between the risk-free
interest rate and the interest rate charged by a lender
or investor represents the risks to the lender/investor,
and we should be able to construct an appropriate set
of scenarios and probabilities to account for those risks.
However, the reality is that markets are not always efficient
and the risk assumptions and probabilities required to
make the analysis work are much different from the real-life
track record of the industry to date. Therefore, it is
likely that a much higher set of risks (downside risks)
must be assumed than might seem reasonable based on prior
industry experience.
Wrapping
up
I have described how FIN 46 would be applied to a "lower-tier"
housing credit partnership. This is the key test, because
if the real estate assets and liabilities are not consolidated
into the "upper tier," then investors in the
upper tier will be largely indifferent to consolidating
an upper tier that has immaterial assets and liabilities.
FIN 46 needs to be applied at the upper tier (fund level)
as well. If an investor owns less than a 50% interest
in either the lower- or upper-tier partnerships, it likely
will not be required to consolidate. Therefore, FIN 46
will likely not require investors in most multi-investor
funds to consolidate.
Accounting firms are struggling with how to apply this
complex accounting pronouncement to an enormous number
of investment vehicles, of which housing credit investments
are just one subset. In the current accounting environment,
firms are applying increasingly conservative approaches
to accounting rules that require the application of subjective
judgment. While FIN 46 poses some practical difficulties
in application, the rule is now effective for all investments
and thus must be applied.
As more analysis is performed in this area, the result
of FIN 46's application may result in significant changes
in how equity is raised in the affordable housing tax
credit marketplace.
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