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Policy Makers Consider Calls for Changes in Tax Credit ProgramWhile praising the federal housing tax credit program, many experts are suggesting steps for improving it
When the Millennial Housing
Commission began its research for a report to Congress on the nation’s
housing needs and how to meet them, advocates from all sectors of the
housing industry started circulating ideas for improving the federal
housing tax credit program. A study that was initiated by the commission
itself called the 1986-vintage program, “the most successful federal
multifamily affordable housing production program of the last 30 years.”
The report provides extensive documentation of the program’s strengths
and outlines a number of ways that it could be improved. It notes that
the Bush administration’s proposal for a tax credit to encourage homeownership
could provide a good opportunity for Congress to consider changes to
the rental housing tax credit as well. Reaching the political crossroadsThe credit also may be coming to a political crossroads of sorts. The Bush administration’s proposed single-family housing tax credit provides an opportunity to propose legislation to improve the program. It also poses a threat, since the credits it would create could be marketed to the same investors as the current rental housing tax credit, and some of them might find it more appealing. “Although it is far too early to predict specifics, enactment of a single-family credit would be a major event for the equity market. Its consequences should be thoughtfully considered,” the report said. For the entire last decade, the credit has benefited from a growing economy, rising market rents and low interest rates. “This coupled with the industry’s fairly steady maturation has yielded curves that have gone only upward, especially the pricing curve,” the report said. Starting at the end of 2000 and continuing for several months, the pricing trend has reversed, the report continued. Market evidence suggests that credit prices, which earlier peaked at 83 cents to 84 cents on the dollar, have fallen, to perhaps 76 cents to 79 cents and still may fall. The causes of a pricing decline include the 40% increase in credit authority that will take effect this year and next, the departure of some investors from the marketplace and an increase in the volume of secondary-market resales of old credits. “No one can say for certain whether the credit price decline is a blip or the start of a longer-term phenomenon,” the report said. But it added, while it exists, it could result in a need to re-underwrite previous transactions. It also could create “possible workout exposure,” the report said. “Should the rumored economic downturn arrive, credit properties will not be immune – poor people lose their jobs in recessions – necessitating workouts and recapitalizations. Further, properties underwritten with rents close either to credit cap or market rent may be ill-equipped to handle rapid, unexpected price spikes in operating costs.” Issues with expiration restrictionsThe other major unknown in the evolution of the program is how the expiration of low-income use restrictions will affect the inventory of tax credit projects. The report estimates that one in five of the apartments developed from 1987 to 1993 is at risk of conversion to market-rate use. The report sets forth a number of possible changes in the program for the commission’s consideration. Among the most interesting is a proposal to establish “credit basis” independent of depreciable basis and let states certify it. The report said determining credit basis, both at allocation and at completion, is a critical proposition. “For the sponsor, it has some no-win elements: If the basis is lower than the credit allocation, the sponsor must refund credits to the allocator, and if it proves to be higher, no additional credits are available. Moreover, between allocation and completion, external events may intrude (issuance of an IRS Technical Advisory Memorandum) that effectively change the rules for participants halfway through their process.” “… With credits capped at the state level and with states making allocations of what they rightly view as an enormously precious resource, there seems little purpose in perpetuating this element of uncertainty,” the report concludes. It also suggests the more radical option of decoupling credit allocations entirely from basis and treating them like other forms of federal assistance that do not rely on basis calculations. Other possible changes in the programOther possible changes in the program include the following:
How to better serve low-income householdsTrudy Parisa McFall, chairman of Homes for America in Annapolis, Md., would like to see focus on how the tax credit program can better serve lower-income people. The market for tax credit projects should be broadened not by serving higher-income residents but by increasing the ability of the program to serve households at less than 60% of median income, she said. There are three actions at the federal level, which could provide tremendous new potential for tax credits to serve these households substantially below 60% of median income, McFall said. These changes are as follows:
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